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Prediction for CME (2016-01-15T00:00:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2016-01-15T00:00Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/10053/-1
CME Note: This CME is associated with a filament eruption to the SW starting around 21:45Z. CME is a partial halo, very faint.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2016-01-18T21:00Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2016-01-18T00:40Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 0.0%
Prediction Method: SPM2
Prediction Method Note:

SPM2 Input Parameters:
Date-time: 2016-01-15 00:00:00   
Source Longtitude: 41
Source Latitude: 3 
Initial Shock Speed: 566 
Background Solar Wind Speed: 350 km/s
Duration Time: 0.12 hours

Output results: The shock will not reach our Earth!

Lead Time: 24.85 hour(s)
Difference: 20.33 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Xinhua Zhao (NSSC CAS) on 2016-01-17T20:09Z

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